Michael.Walker's blog

Surveillance and Early Warning Systems > Models Using Bad Data and Speculative Assumptions

Low Cost Insurance > High Cost in Human Lives / Economic Damage

Manageable Healthcare Logistics > Healthcare Delivery Disaster

Making Policy Decisions with Uncertain & Unreliable Data

We are at war with a mysterious, unseen, global and deadly pathogen with exponential human-to-human transmission rates. We have very little reliable data about the pathogen. This may, or may not be a serious epidemic that infects and kills a significant number of people. We are flying blind and need a prudent plan of action to kill or disrupt the pathogen as soon as possible.