How Many People Died from the Covid-19 Inoculations? An Estimate Based on a Survey of the United States Population

March, 2022

Abstract

This paper examines the potential fatalities and injuries from the COVID-19 inoculation using an online “Covid-19 Health Experiences Survey” administered to a representative sample of the United States (US) population. The sample is composed of 3,000 respondents balanced on age, gender, and income to the extent possible. The survey was administered in December 2021, collecting information regarding respondents’ experiences with the COVID-19 illness and the COVID-19 inoculation as well as COVID-19 health experiences within respondents’ social circles. The survey also collected respondent socioeconomic information. Assuming all the responses represent a causal relationship between recorded deaths and the inoculations, I estimate that 308,000 people may have died from the COVID-19 inoculation in the US. Removing deaths that might have happened regardless of the inoculation yields an estimate of 294,000 fatalities. I also analyze the factors that influence the likelihoods of being inoculated, experiencing an adverse event, and knowing someone who was injured by the COVID-19 inoculation.