# External Course

## Suffcient Causes: On Oxygen, Matches, and Fires

Suffcient Causes: On Oxygen, Matches, and Fires

Probability, Causality, Causal Inference, Counterfactuals, Suffcient Causes, Explanation, Abduction

2019

Abstract

We demonstrate how counterfactuals can be used to compute the probability that one event was/is a sufcient cause of another, and how counterfactuals emerge organically from basic scientifc knowledge, rather than manipulative experiments. We contrast this demonstration with the potential outcome framework and address the distinction between causes and enablers.

## Probability and Risk in the Real World

Probability and Risk in the Real World

Unsderstanding applied probability and accurate assessment of real-world risk is a critical part of high value data science.

## Algorithms for Causal Reasoning in Probability Trees

Algorithms for Causal Reasoning in Probability Trees

Causality, Algorithms, Causal Reasoning, Probability Trees, Machine Learning

October, 2020

Abstract