The Necessity of Construct and External Validity for Generalized Causal Claims |
2021/02/17 - 3:19pm |
Academic Paper |
External Validity, Generalized Causal Claims, Causality, Causal Inference, Statistics, Probability |

Report of the 2nd Workshop on Obfuscation |
2021/02/17 - 3:06pm |
White Paper |
Data Obfuscation, Data Privacy, Discrimination, Hiding Data Flows, Information Privacy Law |

The pandemic fallacy: Inaccuracy of social scientists’ and lay judgments about COVID-19’s societal consequences in America |
2021/02/16 - 10:17pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Forecasts, Judgment and Decision Making |

Data Leverage: A Framework for Empowering the Public in its Relationship with Technology Companies |
2021/02/11 - 9:04am |
Academic Paper |
Human-centered Computing, Data Contribution, Data Leverage, Data Strikes, Data Poisoning, Conscious Data Contribution |

Apocalypse 2020: Draconian Censorship, Non-Scientific Lockdowns, Media Deception, Rise of Technocracy |
2021/02/08 - 10:24pm |
Video |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Policy Error, Civil Rights, Human Rights, Censorship, Lockdowns, Technocracy |

COVID19 and Political Economy of Mass Hysteria |
2021/02/08 - 9:55pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Mass Hysteria, Panic, Hysteria |

Closer than they appear: A Bayesian perspective on individual-level heterogeneity in risk assessment |
2021/02/07 - 11:57pm |
Academic Paper |
Bayesian Probability, Individual Level Heterogeneity, Risk Assessment, Actuarial Risk Assessment Instruments, RAIs |

What are the most important statistical ideas of the past 50 years? |
2021/02/07 - 11:53pm |
Academic Paper |
Statistics, Counterfactual Causal Inference, Bootstrapping, Simulation-based Inference |

Fluid Dynamics and Epidemiology: Seasonality and Transmission Dynamics |
2021/02/07 - 11:49pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Fluid Dynamics, Seasonality, Transmission Dynamics, Public Policy, Health Policy |

A Crash Course in Good and Bad Controls |
2021/02/07 - 11:45pm |
Academic Paper |
Causal Interpretation, Good Controls, Bad Controls, Regression Equation, Graph Analysis, Data Visualization |

Counterfactuals and Their Applications |
2021/02/07 - 11:41pm |
White Paper |
Statistical Inference, Counterfactuals |

Probabilities of Causation: Bounds and Identification |
2021/02/07 - 11:38pm |
Academic Paper |
Probability, Applied Probability, Probability Theory, Causation |

Exploiting Equality Constraints in Causal Inference |
2021/02/02 - 9:31pm |
Academic Paper |
Causal Inference, Causality, Equality Constraints |

COVID19: Rethinking the Lockdown Groupthink |
2021/01/15 - 1:04pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Lockdowns, Groupthink, Public Policy, Health Policy, Cost-benefit Analysis |

Quantum Algorithm for Nonlinear Differential Equations |
2021/01/07 - 9:45pm |
Academic Paper |
Quantum Computing, Algorithm, Quantum Algorithm, Chaotic Dynamics, Nonlinear Differential Equations, Quantum Physics |

Efficient Quantum Algorithm for Dissipative Nonlinear Differential Equations |
2021/01/07 - 9:44pm |
Academic Paper |
Quantum Computing, Algorithm, Quantum Algorithm, Nonlinear Equations, Quantum Physics, Numerical Analysis, Plasma Physics, Nonlinear Differential Equations, Chaotic Dynamics |

Assessing Mandatory Stay‐at‐Home and Business Closure Effects on the Spread of COVID‐19 |
2021/01/07 - 9:30pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Lockdowns, Masks, Non-pharmaceutical Interventions |

Crucial Viral Update Jan 4th - Europe and USA |
2021/01/07 - 9:26pm |
Video |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy |

Measures do not prevent deaths, transmission is not by contact, masks provide no benefit, vaccines are inherently dangerous: Review update of recent science relevant to COVID-19 policy |
2020/12/29 - 11:13pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Lockdowns |

Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19: A Tale of Three Models |
2020/12/27 - 11:54pm |
Academic Paper |
Non-pharmaceutical Interventions, COVID19, Lockdowns, Public Policy, Health Policy |

Large-scale Clinical Interpretation of Genetic Variants Using Evolutionary Data and Deep Learning |
2020/12/23 - 4:36pm |
Academic Paper |
Genetics, Genetic Algorithms, Evolutionary Data, Deep Learning |

THE LONG-TERM IMPACT OF THE COVID-19 UNEMPLOYMENT SHOCK ON LIFE EXPECTANCY AND MORTALITY RATES |
2020/12/17 - 11:33pm |
Academic Paper |
COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Unemployment, Life Expectancy, Mortality Rates |

CRUCIAL Viral Update Dec 7th - Europe and USA Explained! |
2020/12/12 - 12:10pm |
Video |
COVID19, Public Health, Health Policy |

What's Next in AI: AI We Can Reason With |
2020/12/02 - 2:10am |
Video |
Artificial Intelligence |

What's Next in AI: AI We can Scale |
2020/12/02 - 2:08am |
Video |
Artificial Intelligence |

What's Next in AI : AI We Can Trust |
2020/12/02 - 2:07am |
Video |
Artificial Intelligence |

Causal Reinforcement Learning - Slides |
2020/12/02 - 2:04am |
Slides |
Causal Reinforcement Learning, Elias Bareinboim, Reinforcement Learning |

Causal Reinforcement Learning -- Part 2/2 (ICML tutorial) |
2020/12/02 - 2:03am |
Video |
Causal Reinforcement Learning, Elias Bareinboim, Reinforcement Learning |

Causal Reinforcement Learning -- Part 1/2 (ICML tutorial) |
2020/12/02 - 2:00am |
Video |
Causal Reinforcement Learning, Elias Bareinboim, Reinforcement Learning |

Towards Causal Reinforcement Learning (Tutorial) |
2020/12/02 - 1:59am |
Video |
Causal Reinforcement Learning, Elias Bareinboim, Reinforcement Learning |

Causal Data Science: Graphical Models, Exchangeable Models and Graphons |
2020/12/02 - 1:41am |
Video |
Causal Data Science, Graphical Models, Exchangeable Models, Graphons, Elias Bareinboim |

Causal Data Science: A General Framework for Causal Inference and Fusion |
2020/12/02 - 1:37am |
Video |
Elias Bareinboim, Data Science, Causal Data Science, Causal Inference, Causal Reasoning |

Data Science is NOT Statistics |
2020/12/02 - 1:32am |
Video |
Data Science, Statistics |

Scientific Reasoning for Practical Data Science |
2020/12/02 - 1:30am |
Video |
Scientific Reasoning, Data Science |

Philosophy of Data Science |
2020/12/02 - 1:28am |
Video |
Philosophy of Data Science, Data Science |

Judea Pearl: Causal Reasoning, Counterfactuals, and the Path to AGI |
2020/12/02 - 1:24am |
Video |
Judea Pearl, Causal Reasoning, Counterfactuals, AGI, Causal Inference |

Judea Pearl -- The Foundations of Causal Inference |
2020/12/02 - 1:22am |
Video |
Judea Pearl, Causal Inference, Causal Reasoning |

Interview with Judea Pearl |
2020/12/02 - 1:19am |
Video |
Judea Pearl, Causal Inference, Causal Reasoning |

Deep learning: A Philosophical Introduction |
2020/12/02 - 1:16am |
Academic Paper |
Deep Learning |

Unwrapping The Black Box of Deep ReLU Networks: Interpretability, Diagnostics, and Simplification |
2020/12/02 - 1:07am |
Academic Paper |
Deep ReLU Networks, Deep Neural Networks, Activation Pattern, Local linear Interpretability, Network Diagnostics, Network Simplification |

Causal inference methods for combining randomized trials and observational studies: a review |
2020/12/02 - 1:03am |
Academic Paper |
Causal Inference Methods, Randomized Trials, Observational Studies, Causal Inference, Causal Effect Generalization, Transportability, External Validity |

External Validity |
2020/12/02 - 12:58am |
Academic Paper |
External Validity, Causal Inference, Model Utility, Scope Plausibility, Specification Credibility |

A Personal Journey into Bayesian Networks |
2020/12/02 - 12:55am |
Academic Paper |
Bayesian Networks, Bayesian Decision Analysis |

Data Science and Investment Strategy |
2020/12/01 - 1:47am |
Video |
Data Science, Investment Strategy |

Predictive Performance of International COVID-19 Mortality Forecasting Models |
2020/11/27 - 12:36am |
Academic Paper |
Forecasting Models, COVID19 Mortality, COVID19, Causal Models, Public Policy, Health Policy |

SMOTEBoost: Improving Prediction of the Minority Class in Boosting |
2020/11/23 - 9:41am |
Academic Paper |
Algorithms, SMOTEBoost, Minority Class, Boosting, SMOTE, Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique, Synthetic Data |

Explaining Away, Augmentation, and the Assumption of Independence |
2020/11/20 - 11:54pm |
White Paper |
Causal Inference, Causality, Causal Reasoning, Causal Discovery, Intercausal |

Bayesian Networks and Causal Ecumenism |
2020/11/20 - 9:30am |
Academic Paper |
Bayesian Networks, Causal Ecumenism, Causality, Causal Inference, Bayesian Decision Analysis |

Code for: Predicting the Trajectory of Any COVID19 Epidemic From the Best Straight Line |
2020/11/18 - 11:22pm |
External Course |
COVID19, Forecasting Trajectory, Michael Levitt, Health Policy, Public Policy |

Joint Causal Inference from Multiple Contexts |
2020/11/18 - 11:04pm |
Academic Paper |
Joint Causal Inference, Multiple Contexts, Causal Discovery, Causal Inference, Experimental Data, Randomized Controlled Trials, Causality |