Bayesian Decision Analysis

A Personal Journey into Bayesian Networks

May, 2018

Abstract

This report contains personal memories from the years that Bayesian networks were developed, 1978-1988. It was written as a section in The Book of Why: The new science of cause and effect (Pearl and Mackenzie, 2018) but was taken out to meet space limitations. I am archiving these memories with the hope that they will prove useful for future archivists.