Public Policy

The performance of the SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR test as a tool for detecting SARS-CoV-2 infection in the population

May, 2021

Conclusion

In light of our findings that more than half of individuals with positive PCR test results are unlikely to have been infectious, RTPCR test positivity should not be taken as an accurate measure of infectious SARS-CoV-2 incidence. Our results confirm the findings of others that the routine use of “positive” RT-PCR test results as the gold standard for assessing and controlling infectiousness fails to reflect the fact “that 50-75% of the time an individual is PCR positive, they are likely to be post-infectious”.

Backward Art of Slowing the Spread? Congregation Efficiencies during COVID-19

April, 2021

DSA ADS Course - 2021

COVID19, Public Policy, Health Policy, Lockdowns

High causal density environments create difficult complexities for formulating appropriate goals and optimal policy. Experiment of lockdowns and other NPI's is textbook example. Discuss flawed lockdown and NPI theories, historical pandemic experiences and optimal strategy for future pandemics and other potential cataclysmic events.

Also discuss complexity in general and how to formulate appropriate goals, applied probability and flexible adaptation with near real-time data.

Circulating SARS-CoV-2 Vaccine Antigen Detected in the Plasma of mRNA-1273 Vaccine Recipients

May 20, 2021

Potential problems with C19 mRNA Vaccine, SARS-CoV-2 Antigens, Immune Responses, Spike

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 proteins were measured in longitudinal plasma samples collected from 13 participants who received two doses of mRNA-1273 vaccine. 11 of 13 participants showed detectable levels of SARS-CoV-2 protein as early as day one after first vaccine injection. Clearance of detectable SARS-CoV-2 protein correlated with production of IgG and IgA.

Mindspace: Influencing Behavior Through Public Policy

DSA ADS Course - 2021

Influencing Behavior, Public Policy, Psychological Science, Nudge Theory, Behavioral Sciences, Behavioral Theory

May, 2009 UK government document on influencing public behavior through public policy. This type of government psychological and behavioral science techniques executed and directed on unsuspected public is controversial and ethically dubious. It may be illegal and unconstitutional in certain nation states. Consideration when government partners with private business or organizations to achieve same goals?

Imagination and remembrance: what role should historical epidemiology play in a world bewitched by mathematical modelling of COVID‑19 and other epidemics?

April, 2021

Abstract

Although every emerging infectious disease occurs in a unique context, the behaviour of previous pandemics ofers an insight into the medium- and long-term outcomes of the current threat. Where an informative historical analogue exists, epidemiologists and policymakers should consider how the insights of the past can inform current forecasts and responses.

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