Debate: Should Governments Continue Lockdown Strategy?
Should governments continue lockdown to slow the spread of covid-19? Until we have a meaningful alternative, lockdown is the only thing we can do to prevent further catastrophic spread of the virus, says Edward R Melnick.
But John PA Ioannidis argues that any benefits of lockdown depend on its effectiveness and the covid-19 burden—and that the harms are multifarious.
Illusory Effects of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID19 in Europe
June 8, 2020 - Stefan Homburg, Christof Kuhbandner
Flaxman et al. (Nature, 8 June 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7, 2020) infer that non-pharmaceutical interventions conducted by several European countries considerably reduced effective reproduction numbers and saved millions of lives. We show that their method is ill-conceived and that the alleged effects are artefacts. Moreover, we demonstrate that the United Kingdom?s lockdown was both superfluous and ineffective.
Estimating Effects of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
June 8, 2020
Seth Flaxman, Swapnil Mishra, Axel Gandy, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Thomas A. Mellan, Helen Coupland, Charles Whittaker, Harrison Zhu, Tresnia Berah, Jeffrey W. Eaton, Mélodie Monod, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, Azra C. Ghani, Christl A. Donnelly, Steven M. Riley, Michaela A. C. Vollmer, Neil M. Ferguson, Lucy C. Okell & Samir Bhatt
COVID-19 pandemic-related lockdown: response time is more important than its strictness
Nonpharmaceutical Measures for Pandemic Influenza in Nonhealthcare Settings—Personal Protective and Environmental Measures
An FDA for Algorithms
Extreme Wealth is Not Merited
Many scientific methodology problems with this study and paper conclusions.
No doubt some weath is merited and some not - we can use data science to distinguish and design better public policy.