DSA ADS Course - 2021
Climate Science, Bad Science, Crisis in Science, Climate Scenarios
Decision-makers and policy-makers depend on professional data scientists to make optimal decisions. Timely self-correcting mechanisms using near real-time data is critical. Failures of climate science and abuse/misuse of scenario planning is instructive of what NOT to do.
Scenario planning is a prudent part of high value data science yet MUST be combined with applied PROBABILITY and analyzed with context to goals and fluid situational reality.
This paper demonstrates that an operational forecast model can skillfully predict week 3-4 averages of temperature and precipitation over the contiguous U.S.