Health Policy

Code for: Predicting the Trajectory of Any COVID19 Epidemic From the Best Straight Line

Code to accompany paper below: See: https://github.com/csblab/covid19-public/

Predicting the Trajectory of Any COVID19 Epidemic From the Best Straight Line Michael Levitt, Andrea Scaiewicz, Francesco Zonta

See: https://www.datascienceassn.org/content/predicting-trajectory-any-covid19-epidemic-best-straight-line

June, 2020

Abstract

Covid-19 Mortality: A Matter of Vulnerability Among Nations Facing Limited Margins of Adaptation

November, 2020

Results: Higher Covid death rates are observed in the [25/65°] latitude and in the [−35/−125°] longitude ranges. The national criteria most associated with death rate are life expectancy and its slowdown, public health context (metabolic and non-communicable diseases (NCD) burden vs. infectious diseases prevalence), economy (growth national product, financial support), and environment (temperature, ultra-violet index). Stringency of the measures settled to fight pandemia, including lockdown, did not appear to be linked with death rate.

Evidence of Protective Role of Ultraviolet-B (UVB) Radiation in Reducing COVID-19 Deaths

October, 2020

Abstract

Prior studies indicate the protective role of Ultraviolet-B (UVB) radiation in human health, mediated by vitamin D synthesis. In this observational study, we empirically outline a negative association of UVB radiation as measured by ultraviolet index (UVI) with the number of COVID-19 deaths. We apply a fixed-effect log-linear regression model to a panel dataset of 152 countries over 108 days (n = 6524).

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